Lebanon tensions ease, official warns of “civil war”

January 27, 2007

This week, things turned for the worse in Lebanon, with violence erupting in Beirut. But both the government and the opposition seem to be showing maturity by calling for unity in Lebanon to prevent an outbreak of civil war.

This situation is very indicative of what is going on in Lebanon: the protests of recent months are not opportunistic, but realistic. There is a significant segment of the Lebanese population that dislikes the way the current government is handling the country. And instead doing things un-democratically, through terror, the disenchanted are taking peaceful means to voice their concerns and demands. No one can doubt that Hezbollah, a key player in the protests, is capable of acts of terror (and ones of magnitude). After all, it was Hezbollah that seriously challenged the reputation of the IDF this summer. However, Hezbollah has not been violent. There is no indication that the assassination of Pierre Gemayel, which occurred before the protests began, has been linked to the politically active group.

Nevertheless, some pro-government officials in Lebanon are saying the violence is the responsibility of protesters. Samir Geagea has accused the opposition of trying to take force by “force” and has said that the continuation of protests would lead to “civil war.”

Gaegea has a point, in that if the government continues to dispute protesters’ demands, violence will eventually break out. But it won’t be the fault of the protesters, but Lebanon’s government. Now is not the time to be stubborn. The opposition — and a large number of the Lebanese population — have shown this movement to be more than the Orange revolution, so widely publicized as a triumph for democracy, so it’s time for Prime Minister Siniora to listen and stop demanding.

The PM has refused to negotiate with the opposition until protests cease.

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One Response to “Lebanon tensions ease, official warns of “civil war””


  1. Hey Dmitri..how’s things?

    The normal course of Islamic takeover is to build a state within a state, administer Shari’a to Muslims, demand concessions from the host nation and lay low until the time for envelopment is right. I thought this was the time for Lebanon.

    It may well be Hezbollah has grown impatient, or Iran is pushing them, although I wouldn’t know why. It would seem with the threat of US or Israeli bombing runs on nuclear sites, Lebanon would be a distraction.

    We’ll just see.

    Cya! Hank


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