New Iraqi Policy May be on its Way: UK and US send signals

October 19, 2006

Following General Sir Richard Dannatt‘s comments about UK forces leaving Iraq within a year, British Prime Minister Tony Blair has echoed the sentiment saying that government policy was to leave Iraq in 10-16 months as long as security allowed it.

It will be interesting to see what the policy towards Iraq will be in Washington after the US mid-term elections, which are expected to be a political loss for the scandal-ridden Republican Party. Prime Minister Blair has said that the UK is still committed to a liberal democracy in Iraq, despite the troop withdrawal. Is a similar policy to be expected from Washington?

The US currently has two high-profile diplomatic situations to handle: Iran and N Korea. N Korea, having run a successful nuclear test, can expect negotiations to occur and finding a diplomatic solution. Iran, on the other hand, has long been reported as the next US target in its Middle East portfolio. However, American troops have been over-stretched in Iraq and any military activity in Iran is simply impossible and bound for disaster.

There is reason to believe that US policy in Iraq may change: in the widely publicized interview with ABC news, President Bush has accepted an Iraq-Vietnam parallel. Also, the US military today sait that its security strategy in Baghdad is failing to stop violence. These could be the first signals that the US may be changing course.


2 Responses to “New Iraqi Policy May be on its Way: UK and US send signals”

  1. […] This is not surprising — in an entry yesterday, this is exactly what I suggested could happen. What may have fast-tracked the examination of these exit strategies is today’s Amara incidents. […]

  2. […] In terms of electoral politics, the kind of numbers that the Guardian has printed (61% of voters want the troops out within the year, regardless of mission completion) would make withdrawal inevitable. If Labour is to be re-elected, they must respond to electoral demands. However, things are not as clear-cut. Blair is serving his last term as PM and in that sense may bail on his party, which forced him to announce his resignation recently. In his last year as PM, Blair will want to leave a mark and staying in Iraq could be his way of doing it (though this does not appear to be the case). […]

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in: Logo

You are commenting using your account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )


Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: